Buy Tech Mahindra; target of Rs 1862: Prabhudas Lilladher

Trading Calls - Equity F&O

Prabhudas Lilladher is bullish on Tech Mahindra has recommended buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 1862 in its research report dated November 12, 2021.

Broker Research

November 15, 2021 / 04:56 PM IST

HDFC Securities research report's outlook and valuations: 500bps growth outperformance over FY21-24E as compared to 250bps earlier). We roll over valuations to Sepemtember-23E and increase target multiples for most of the companies in our coverage universe. We remain broadly constructive across the sector and ahead of consensus on growth/EPS; our preferred picks are Infosys, HCLT, Mphasis and Zensar.”” title=”HDFC Securities research report’s outlook and valuations:  “The YTD EPS upgrades (consensus) have been led by mid-tiers such as Tata Elxis, Mindtree, Mastek, and Persistent Systems, ranging from 20-40 percent and, within tier 1, by Wipro (~15%). We expect the sector (coverage universe) to post 13 percent and 14.5 percent USD revenue/APAT CAGR over FY21-24E compared to 6.5/7.5 percent over the past five years. The mid-tier valuation premium relative to tier 1s may sustain, based on its relative outperformance (>500bps growth outperformance over FY21-24E as compared to 250bps earlier). We roll over valuations to Sepemtember-23E and increase target multiples for most of the companies in our coverage universe. We remain broadly constructive across the sector and ahead of consensus on growth/EPS; our preferred picks are Infosys, HCLT, Mphasis and Zensar.”” width=”100%” height=”auto” >

HDFC Securities research report’s outlook and valuations:  “The YTD EPS upgrades (consensus) have been led by mid-tiers such as Tata Elxis, Mindtree, Mastek, and Persistent Systems, ranging from 20-40 percent and, within tier 1, by Wipro (~15%). We expect the sector (coverage universe) to post 13 percent and 14.5 percent USD revenue/APAT CAGR over FY21-24E compared to 6.5/7.5 percent over the past five years. The mid-tier valuation premium relative to tier 1s may sustain, based on its relative outperformance (>500bps growth outperformance over FY21-24E as compared to 250bps earlier). We roll over valuations to Sepemtember-23E and increase target multiples for most of the companies in our coverage universe. We remain broadly constructive across the sector and ahead of consensus on growth/EPS; our preferred picks are Infosys, HCLT, Mphasis and Zensar.”

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Prabhudas Lilladher’s research report on Tech Mahindra

TechM aspires to achieve industry leading growth by investing in 4 big bets: -1) Connectivity (best invested in connectivity space), 2) Experience (CX deal bookings worth $ 567 Mn in H1FY22 with highest ever deal pipeline), 3) Cloud (Cloud has grown 2x YoY from $ 300mn to $ 600mn) and 4) Engineering. TechM’s Manufacturing, HiTech and BFSI verticals are trending towards $ 1Bn revenue in FY22. Investments in 5G are back with globally $ 130Bn invested in 5G core network. 5G for CSP and 5G for ecosystem has already started firing for TechM. 5G for Enterprise will grow in next 2 years. 5G revenue run-rate for TechM was ~USD 500 mn by Q2FY22. 20% of CME business is now 5G and 50% of all network services business is now 5G. 5G will enable sensor based connected world and drive new business models. 5G and 5G related business opportunity is expected to be $ 712 Bn by 2023.

Outlook

Our DCF based target price for TechM is 1862 (implying target multiple of 18.5x on FY24 EPS). TechM is currently trading at 20X/18.5X earnings multiple on FY23/24 EPS of INR 75.8/82.5 on FY22/23E respectively, inexpensive. TechM has Revenue/EPS CAGR of 12.8%/12.8% over FY22-24. Maintain Buy.

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