Oil hit its highest since 2014 on Tuesday, with Brent futures reaching $ 99.50 a barrel after Moscow ordered troops into two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine.
Reuters
February 22, 2022 / 07:46 PM IST
Global oil benchmark Brent crude could rise by $ 5-$ 20 a barrel depending on the severity of the Russia-Ukraine crisis, Bank of America (BofA) Global Research said on Tuesday, adding that prices could drop by $ 2-$ 4 if tensions de-escalate.
Oil hit its highest since 2014 on Tuesday, with Brent futures reaching $ 99.50 a barrel after Moscow ordered troops into two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine.
The bank sees Brent heading to $ 120 a barrel by mid-2022, with fundamentals justifying a near-term spike and demand projected to rise by 3.6 million barrels per day (bpd) to surpass pre-pandemic levels at nearly 101 million bpd this year.
“A weaker dollar trend and a pro-growth macro backdrop, if it indeed occurs, could support crude near triple digits in the second half of the year,” the bank said in a research note.
A potential nuclear deal with Iran and associated sanctions relief would quickly translate into lower oil prices, the bank’s analysts noted.
Analysts at BofA believe Brent prices will need to average $ 60 to $ 80 per barrel to keep the global oil market in balance out to 2027.
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