Black Swans in the Year of the Rabbit: Recession, recovery, rebound

Stocks

Emerging markets will be back in favour with the peak US Dollar levels of 2022 providing a backdrop. As the US dollar retreats in 2023, we expect flows into EMs to pick up, in a renewed search for growth stories

Black Swans in the Year of the Rabbit: Recession, recovery, rebound

The year 2023 is expected to be a year of slowing economic growth but of resilient markets. (Representative image)

Highlights  2023 is starting on a sombre note, with forecasts of a global recession and volatile markets  Global growth is expected to slow down to 2% this year  Flows into Chinese stocks will pick up going into the Chinese New Year, in anticipation of a post Covid reopening in April  Commodities from oil to base metals will benefit from the China reopening  2023 is likely to be a bad year for the economy but a better year for the markets  Both stocks and bonds have…