Nilesh Shah says India a contra bet for world, lists 6 sectors to invest now

Market Outlook

Stock picking may not work in defense sector, which is one of his picks, but buying a basket of private and public sector players is a good idea, said the market expert

Nilesh Shah, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Envision Capital

Nilesh Shah, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Envision Capital

‘); $ (‘#lastUpdated_’+articleId).text(resData[stkKey][‘lastupdate’]); //if(resData[stkKey][‘percentchange’] > 0){ // $ (‘#greentxt_’+articleId).removeClass(“redtxt”).addClass(“greentxt”); // $ (‘.arw_red’).removeClass(“arw_red”).addClass(“arw_green”); //}else if(resData[stkKey][‘percentchange’] < 0){ // $ (‘#greentxt_’+articleId).removeClass(“greentxt”).addClass(“redtxt”); // $ (‘.arw_green’).removeClass(“arw_green”).addClass(“arw_red”); //} if(resData[stkKey][‘percentchange’] >= 0){ $ (‘#greentxt_’+articleId).removeClass(“redtxt”).addClass(“greentxt”); //$ (‘.arw_red’).removeClass(“arw_red”).addClass(“arw_green”); $ (‘#gainlosstxt_’+articleId).find(“.arw_red”).removeClass(“arw_red”).addClass(“arw_green”); }else if(resData[stkKey][‘percentchange’] < 0){ $ (‘#greentxt_’+articleId).removeClass(“greentxt”).addClass(“redtxt”); //$ (‘.arw_green’).removeClass(“arw_green”).addClass(“arw_red”); $ (‘#gainlosstxt_’+articleId).find(‘.arw_green’).removeClass(“arw_green”).addClass(“arw_red”); } $ (‘#volumetxt_’+articleId).show(); $ (‘#vlmtxt_’+articleId).show(); $ (‘#stkvol_’+articleId).text(resData[stkKey][‘volume’]); $ (‘#td-low_’+articleId).text(resData[stkKey][‘daylow’]); $ (‘#td-high_’+articleId).text(resData[stkKey][‘dayhigh’]); $ (‘#rightcol_’+articleId).show(); }else{ $ (‘#volumetxt_’+articleId).hide(); $ (‘#vlmtxt_’+articleId).hide(); $ (‘#stkvol_’+articleId).text(”); $ (‘#td-low_’+articleId).text(”); $ (‘#td-high_’+articleId).text(”); $ (‘#rightcol_’+articleId).hide(); } $ (‘#stk-graph_’+articleId).attr(‘src’,’//appfeeds.moneycontrol.com/jsonapi/stocks/graph&format=json&watch_app=true&range=1d&type=area&ex=’+stockType+’&sc_id=’+stockId+’&width=157&height=100&source=web’); } } } }); } $ (‘.bseliveselectbox’).click(function(){ $ (‘.bselivelist’).show(); }); function bindClicksForDropdown(articleId){ $ (‘ul#stockwidgettabs_’+articleId+’ li’).click(function(){ stkId = jQuery.trim($ (this).find(‘a’).attr(‘stkid’)); $ (‘ul#stockwidgettabs_’+articleId+’ li’).find(‘a’).removeClass(‘active’); $ (this).find(‘a’).addClass(‘active’); stockWidget(‘N’,stkId,articleId); }); $ (‘#stk-b-‘+articleId).click(function(){ stkId = jQuery.trim($ (this).attr(‘stkId’)); stockWidget(‘B’,stkId,articleId); $ (‘.bselivelist’).hide(); }); $ (‘#stk-n-‘+articleId).click(function(){ stkId = jQuery.trim($ (this).attr(‘stkId’)); stockWidget(‘N’,stkId,articleId); $ (‘.bselivelist’).hide(); }); } $ (“.bselivelist”).focusout(function(){ $ (“.bselivelist”).hide(); //hide the results }); function bindMenuClicks(articleId){ $ (‘#watchlist-‘+articleId).click(function(){ var stkId = $ (this).attr(‘stkId’); overlayPopupWatchlist(0,2,1,stkId); }); $ (‘#portfolio-‘+articleId).click(function(){ var dispId = $ (this).attr(‘dispId’); pcSavePort(0,1,dispId); }); } $ (‘.mc-modal-close’).on(‘click’,function(){ $ (‘.mc-modal-wrap’).css(‘display’,’none’); $ (‘.mc-modal’).removeClass(‘success’); $ (‘.mc-modal’).removeClass(‘error’); }); function overlayPopupWatchlist(e, t, n,stkId) { $ (‘.srch_bx’).css(‘z-index’,’999′); typparam1 = n; if(readCookie(‘nnmc’)) { var lastRsrs =new Array(); lastRsrs[e]= stkId; if(lastRsrs.length > 0) { var resStr=”; var url = ‘//www.moneycontrol.com/mccode/common/saveWatchlist.php’; $ .get( “//www.moneycontrol.com/mccode/common/rhsdata.html”, function( data ) { $ (‘#backInner1_rhsPop’).html(data); $ .ajax({url:url, type:”POST”, dataType:”json”, data:{q_f:typparam1,wSec:secglbVar,wArray:lastRsrs}, success:function(d) { if(typparam1==’1′) // rhs { var appndStr=”; var newappndStr = makeMiddleRDivNew(d); appndStr = newappndStr[0]; var titStr=”;var editw=”; var typevar=”; var pparr= new Array(‘Monitoring your investments regularly is important.’,’Add your transaction details to monitor your stock`s performance.’,’You can also track your Transaction History and Capital Gains.’); var phead =’Why add to Portfolio?’; if(secglbVar ==1) { var stkdtxt=’this stock’; var fltxt=’ it ‘; typevar =’Stock ‘; if(lastRsrs.length>1){ stkdtxt=’these stocks’; typevar =’Stocks ‘;fltxt=’ them ‘; } } //var popretStr =lvPOPRHS(phead,pparr); //$ (‘#poprhsAdd’).html(popretStr); //$ (‘.btmbgnwr’).show(); var tickTxt =’‘; if(typparam1==1) { var modalContent = ‘Watchlist has been updated successfully.’; var modalStatus = ‘success’; //if error, use ‘error’ $ (‘.mc-modal-content’).text(modalContent); $ (‘.mc-modal-wrap’).css(‘display’,’flex’); $ (‘.mc-modal’).addClass(modalStatus); //var existsFlag=$ .inArray(‘added’,newappndStr[1]); //$ (‘#toptitleTXT’).html(tickTxt+typevar+’ to your watchlist’); //if(existsFlag == -1) //{ // if(lastRsrs.length > 1) // $ (‘#toptitleTXT’).html(tickTxt+typevar+’already exist in your watchlist’); // else // $ (‘#toptitleTXT’).html(tickTxt+typevar+’already exists in your watchlist’); // //} } //$ (‘.accdiv’).html(”); //$ (‘.accdiv’).html(appndStr); } }, //complete:function(d){ // if(typparam1==1) // { // watchlist_popup(‘open’); // } //} }); }); } else { var disNam =’stock’; if($ (‘#impact_option’).html()==’STOCKS’) disNam =’stock’; if($ (‘#impact_option’).html()==’MUTUAL FUNDS’) disNam =’mutual fund’; if($ (‘#impact_option’).html()==’COMMODITIES’) disNam =’commodity’; alert(‘Please select at least one ‘+disNam); } } else { AFTERLOGINCALLBACK = ‘overlayPopup(‘+e+’, ‘+t+’, ‘+n+’)’; commonPopRHS(); /*work_div = 1; typparam = t; typparam1 = n; check_login_pop(1)*/ } } function pcSavePort(param,call_pg,dispId) { var adtxt=”; if(readCookie(‘nnmc’)){ if(call_pg == “2”) { pass_sec = 2; } else { pass_sec = 1; } var url = ‘//www.moneycontrol.com/mccode/common/saveWatchlist.php’; $ .ajax({url:url, type:”POST”, //data:{q_f:3,wSec:1,dispid:$ (‘input[name=sc_dispid_port]’).val()}, data:{q_f:3,wSec:pass_sec,dispid:dispId}, dataType:”json”, success:function(d) { //var accStr= ”; //$ .each(d.ac,function(i,v) //{ // accStr+=”+v.nm+”; //}); $ .each(d.data,function(i,v) { if(v.flg == ‘0’) { var modalContent = ‘Scheme added to your portfolio.’; var modalStatus = ‘success’; //if error, use ‘error’ $ (‘.mc-modal-content’).text(modalContent); $ (‘.mc-modal-wrap’).css(‘display’,’flex’); $ (‘.mc-modal’).addClass(modalStatus); //$ (‘#acc_sel_port’).html(accStr); //$ (‘#mcpcp_addportfolio .form_field, .form_btn’).removeClass(‘disabled’); //$ (‘#mcpcp_addportfolio .form_field input, .form_field select, .form_btn input’).attr(‘disabled’, false); // //if(call_pg == “2”) //{ // adtxt =’ Scheme added to your portfolio We recommend you add transactional details to evaluate your investment better. x‘; //} //else //{ // adtxt =’ Stock added to your portfolio We recommend you add transactional details to evaluate your investment better. x‘; //} //$ (‘#mcpcp_addprof_info’).css(‘background-color’,’#eeffc8′); //$ (‘#mcpcp_addprof_info’).html(adtxt); //$ (‘#mcpcp_addprof_info’).show(); glbbid=v.id; } }); } }); } else { AFTERLOGINCALLBACK = ‘pcSavePort(‘+param+’, ‘+call_pg+’, ‘+dispId+’)’; commonPopRHS(); /*work_div = 1; typparam = t; typparam1 = n; check_login_pop(1)*/ } } function commonPopRHS(e) { /*var t = ($ (window).height() – $ (“#” + e).height()) / 2 + $ (window).scrollTop(); var n = ($ (window).width() – $ (“#” + e).width()) / 2 + $ (window).scrollLeft(); $ (“#” + e).css({ position: “absolute”, top: t, left: n }); $ (“#lightbox_cb,#” + e).fadeIn(300); $ (“#lightbox_cb”).remove(); $ (“body”).append(”); $ (“#lightbox_cb”).css({ filter: “alpha(opacity=80)” }).fadeIn()*/ $ (“#myframe”).attr(‘src’,’https://accounts.moneycontrol.com/mclogin/?d=2′); $ (“#LoginModal”).modal(); } function overlay(n) { document.getElementById(‘back’).style.width = document.body.clientWidth + “px”; document.getElementById(‘back’).style.height = document.body.clientHeight +”px”; document.getElementById(‘back’).style.display = ‘block’; jQuery.fn.center = function () { this.css(“position”,”absolute”); var topPos = ($ (window).height() – this.height() ) / 2; this.css(“top”, -topPos).show().animate({‘top’:topPos},300); this.css(“left”, ( $ (window).width() – this.width() ) / 2); return this; } setTimeout(function(){$ (‘#backInner’+n).center()},100); } function closeoverlay(n){ document.getElementById(‘back’).style.display = ‘none’; document.getElementById(‘backInner’+n).style.display = ‘none’; } stk_str=”; stk.forEach(function (stkData,index){ if(index==0){ stk_str+=stkData.stockId.trim(); }else{ stk_str+=’,’+stkData.stockId.trim(); } }); $ .get(‘//www.moneycontrol.com/techmvc/mc_apis/stock_details/?sc_id=’+stk_str, function(data) { stk.forEach(function (stkData,index){ $ (‘#stock-name-‘+stkData.stockId.trim()+’-‘+article_id).text(data[stkData.stockId.trim()][‘nse’][‘shortname’]); }); }); function redirectToTradeOpenDematAccountOnline(){ if (stock_isinid && stock_tradeType) { window.open(`https://www.moneycontrol.com/open-demat-account-online?classic=true&script_id=$ {stock_isinid}&ex=$ {stock_tradeType}&site=web&asset_class=stock&utm_source=moneycontrol&utm_medium=articlepage&utm_campaign=tradenow&utm_content=webbutton`, ‘_blank’); } }

The market has seen some strong moves in the last couple of months, largely in line with the global move but now its is facing some resistance. Analysts believe this is on expected lines.

“In the short term, we are likely to see some pressure. We have had quite a strong rally in the last two months, so it is quite possible that some of those gains will get shed,” Nilesh Shah, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Envision Capital, said in an interview with CNBC TV-18 on August 23.

However, he added that the outlook for India is very strong. According to him, there are ample opportunities to invest.

“India is becoming a contrarian play globally even in terms of emerging markets,” said Shah. “A lot of stocks and sectors, especially in the broader space, are in the bull market and that is where the opportunity is. Tier-II banks, the auto component space, capex plays and defense – these are some really interesting opportunities.”

Among these stocks, many have delivered strong returns in recent months. Names such as Hindustan Aeronautics, Bharat Electronics and Bharat Dynamics have racked up impressive gains in the current year so far rising up to 110 percent.

“Defense is among the most compelling opportunities. Geopolitical environment in Europe and Asia, indigenisation, government’s resolve and reforms – taking all these things in context, defense is a space that will do very well,” Shah said.

He said stock picking may not work here but buying a basket of private and public sector players is a good idea.

Also read | Mid-cap IT stocks likely to emerge as strong performers in next 2-3 years: Envision Capital’s Nilesh Shah

Among the other stocks that have done well are from the consumption space where the worries of high raw material prices are alleviating. Though Shah believes there are very few pockets in the sectors that are attractive.

“The general consumer space is likely to underperform as some of them will have challenges in terms of growth and margins and therefore earnings. But there are two pockets that we like quite a lot in the consumption space – alcoholic beverages and snacking (biscuits and bakery),” he said.

He said he owns Radico Khaitan and United Spirits.

“Both are well poised to grow, but Radico Khaitan is currently going under huge expansion plans and this will play out in a couple of years,” he underlined.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.