Buy Affle (India) target of Rs 7023: Prabhudas Lilladher

Trading Calls - Equity F&O

Prabhudas Lilladher is bullish on Affle (India) has recommended buy rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 7023 in its research report dated September 24, 2021.

Broker Research

September 27, 2021 / 02:55 PM IST

HDFC Securities research report's outlook and valuations: 500bps growth outperformance over FY21-24E as compared to 250bps earlier). We roll over valuations to Sepemtember-23E and increase target multiples for most of the companies in our coverage universe. We remain broadly constructive across the sector and ahead of consensus on growth/EPS; our preferred picks are Infosys, HCLT, Mphasis and Zensar.”” title=”HDFC Securities research report’s outlook and valuations:  “The YTD EPS upgrades (consensus) have been led by mid-tiers such as Tata Elxis, Mindtree, Mastek, and Persistent Systems, ranging from 20-40 percent and, within tier 1, by Wipro (~15%). We expect the sector (coverage universe) to post 13 percent and 14.5 percent USD revenue/APAT CAGR over FY21-24E compared to 6.5/7.5 percent over the past five years. The mid-tier valuation premium relative to tier 1s may sustain, based on its relative outperformance (>500bps growth outperformance over FY21-24E as compared to 250bps earlier). We roll over valuations to Sepemtember-23E and increase target multiples for most of the companies in our coverage universe. We remain broadly constructive across the sector and ahead of consensus on growth/EPS; our preferred picks are Infosys, HCLT, Mphasis and Zensar.”” width=”100%” height=”auto” >

HDFC Securities research report’s outlook and valuations:  “The YTD EPS upgrades (consensus) have been led by mid-tiers such as Tata Elxis, Mindtree, Mastek, and Persistent Systems, ranging from 20-40 percent and, within tier 1, by Wipro (~15%). We expect the sector (coverage universe) to post 13 percent and 14.5 percent USD revenue/APAT CAGR over FY21-24E compared to 6.5/7.5 percent over the past five years. The mid-tier valuation premium relative to tier 1s may sustain, based on its relative outperformance (>500bps growth outperformance over FY21-24E as compared to 250bps earlier). We roll over valuations to Sepemtember-23E and increase target multiples for most of the companies in our coverage universe. We remain broadly constructive across the sector and ahead of consensus on growth/EPS; our preferred picks are Infosys, HCLT, Mphasis and Zensar.”

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Prabhudas Lilladher’s research report on Affle (India)

We are initiating coverage on Affle India with BUY rating as- 1) It is a play on rising digital adoption with mobile being the preferred channel, 2) It operates in emerging markets that have high growth in digital advertising (30% CAGR over FY21-25E) & are underpenetrated at ~30% digital ad spend vs ~50% globally, 3) It has differentiated end-to-end digital advertising capability with high ROI driven pricing model, 4) ability to expand addressable market share by profitably scaling up acquisitions with unique tech capabilities and 5) It maintained above average margins despite operating in emerging markets with low unit economics.

Outlook

We expect revenue/EPS CAGR of 54%/30% over FY21-24E and arrive at DCF based TP of Rs 7023 (implies 92/61x P/E on FY23/24E EPS of 76/116).

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