Buy USDINR; target of: 74.98 – 75.15: ICICI Direct

Currencies

ICICI Direct, The rupee tumbled to the lowest level in more than four months despite a decent recovery in equities•

April 08, 2021 / 09:13 AM IST

ICICI Direct’s currency report on USDINR

Spot Currency

The rupee tumbled to the lowest level in more than four months despite a decent recovery in equities • The rupee fell around 1.2% to 74.55 per dollar, the weakest since mid November 2020. The central bank said on Wednesday it will buy Rs 1 trillion ($ 14 billion) of bonds in the secondary market this quarter, in addition to its existing liquidity operations.

Currency futures on NSE

The rupee plunged to a four month low due to primary liquidity infusion via bond and rising Covid-19 cases that have created uncertainty. This may imply tapered money growth, which suggests this will put depreciation pressure on the rupee • The dollar-rupee April contract on the NSE was at Rs 74.55 in the last session. The open interest increased 15% for the April series.

Intra-day strategy 

US$ INR Apr futures contract (NSE) View: Bullish on US$ INR
Buy US$ INR in the range of 74.55-74.60 Market Lot: US$ 1000
Target: 74.98/ 75.15 Stop Loss: 74.40
Support: 74.40/74.20 Resistance: 74.98/75.15

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