Technical View: Nifty forms bullish candle, experts say high-risk traders can remain long
The Nifty50 opened strong and remained in the positive terrain throughout the session to close above the 15,300-mark for the first time on February 15, backed by optimistic global sentiment and improving corporate earnings.
Banking and financials led the rally as the BSE Sensex, too, reached a milestone by crossing the 52,000-mark.
The Nifty50 witnessed a gap-up opening at 15,270.30 and extended the rally to hit an intraday record high of 15,340.15. The index settled at 15,314.70, up 151.40 points, or 1 percent.
The record high close saw the index form a bullish candle on the daily charts, as the closing was higher than the opening levels. Experts expect the rally to the index to march towards the 15,500-mark if the momentum sustains in the coming sessions.
Traders with a high-risk appetite should remain long on the index by placing a stop below 15,240 levels, Mazhar Mohammad, Chief Strategist – Technical Research & Trading Advisory at Chartviewindia.in told Moneycontrol.
The volatility cooled down further today, which could be supporting the market. India VIX was down by 2.57 percent to 21.47.
The Nifty50 appeared to have registered a breakout, with a brief consolidation of five trading sessions, signalling the resumption of the rally, Mohammad said.
The trading range remained narrow with 97 points, which was accompanied by a negative advance-decline ratio, suggesting caution in the broader markets which witnessed profit-booking, he said.
To make further gains, it is critical that the index sustains above 15,243 in the next session, he said. In such a scenario, a modest target of 15,500 is possible and beyond that higher target of 15,700 can’t be ruled out, he said.
If the Nifty registers a close below 15,243, then the breakout shall be deemed to have failed and the Nifty may once again slip into a corrective or a consolidation phase. More weakness shall not be expected unless Nifty closes below 15,100 levels.
On the options front, maximum Put open interest was seen at 14,000 followed by 15,000 strike, while maximum Call open interest was at 16,000 followed by 15,500 strike. Put writing was seen at 15,000 and 15,300 strikes, while Call writing was seen at 15,300 then 15,800 strike. Option data indicates that the immediate range for the Nifty could be at 15,000-15,500.
The Bank Nifty opened gap up at 36,501.40 and rallied more than 1,300 points to hit a new high of 37,449.90. Banking stocks powered the rate- sensitive index which ended the day with gains of 1,197.40 points or 3.32 percent at 37,306.30, forming a strong bullish candle on the daily scale.
“The index has been forming higher highs-higher lows from the last two sessions. Now it has to hold above 37,000 to witness a move towards 38,000, while on the downside support is seen at 36,500 and 36,000 levels,” Chandan Taparia, Vice President|Analyst-Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services said.
On the stock front, a bullish setup was seen in Cholamandalam Investment, Apollo Hospitals, LIC Housing Finance, Motherson Sumi, Adani Enterprises, M&M Financial, Piramal Enterprises, Axis Bank, Shriram Transport Finance, L&T Finance Holdings, ICICI Bank, PFC, REC, Bajaj Finance, SBI and Tata Motors. Weakness was seen in Indiabulls Housing Finance, Amara Raja Batteries, Glenmark Pharma, Indraprastha Gas, PVR, TCS and IOC, he added.