Gold rises on weaker US dollar ahead of US data

February 12
12:06 2018

Gold prices rose on Monday as the U.S. dollar slipped after last week’s rally though investors are watching for inflation data from the United States later this week for signs of the intensity of expected US interest rate increases.

Spot gold rose 0.6 percent to USD 1,323.68 per ounce at 0435 GMT. Last week, the precious metal fell 1.2 percent for a second consecutive weekly decline.

US gold futures for April delivery rose 0.8 percent to USD 1,326.30 per ounce.

“Gold has picked up a little in the last 24 hours, as a hint of dollar weakness creeps back into markets,” said Jordan Eliseo, chief economist at gold trader ABC Bullion.

The dollar index, a measure of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, fell 0.34 percent to 90.137. Last week the index rose 1.4 percent because of a flight to safer assets amid a rout in global equity markets.

A weaker greenback makes dollar-denominated gold less expensive for holders of other currencies.

US consumer price data will be released on Wednesday that should give clearer signs on the pace of inflation and with it the frequency of the anticipated interest rate rises. Concerns of rising inflation triggered the global equity drop last week.

“After last week’s sell off in risk assets, we expect gold to be well supported, especially if volatility in financial markets persists,” Eliseo said.

Last week, the benchmark S&P 500 fell 5.2 percent, its biggest decline since January 2016.

“The uptick in prices today is not so much safe-haven buying, but more so potential short covering behaviour by market watchers,” said OCBC analyst Barnabas Gan.

“It’s just common sense for some portfolio managers to exhibit some short-covering behaviour especially after the sell-off we saw last week.”

Gold prices slipped 2.5 percent in the prior two weeks before Monday.

Hedge funds and money managers slashed their net-long position in COMEX gold for the first time in eight weeks in the week to Feb. 6, and cut it in silver, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday.

Spot gold is expected to end its current bounce in a resistance zone of USD 1,325 to USD 1,330 per ounce and then revisit its February 8 low of USD 1,306.81, said Reuters technical analyst, Wang Tao.

In other precious metals, silver gained 0.6 percent to USD 16.45 per ounce.

Platinum rose 0.6 percent to USD 970.00 per ounce. On Friday, it fell to USD 953 an ounce, the lowest since January 10.

Palladium was up 0.8 percent to USD 984.00 per ounce. On Friday, it fell to its lowest since October 25.

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