Recommendation From Iron & Steel Sector

January 26
23:35 2018

This section gives a recommendation of a stock having stock price below Rs 100 with sound fundamentals and expected to give handsome returns over a one-year time horizon.




BSE Code: 513142
CMP: Rs.78.35
FV: Rs.5
BSE Volume: 26956 

Government thrust on infrastructure/
National Steel Policy
Quality product mix
Improving margins

Balasore Alloys Limited is engaged in the manufacture and mining of ferro alloys. The company is also engaged in manufacturing and selling of ferro chrome of various grades. Its products include high carbon ferro chrome (FeCr60) and low silicon ferro chrome (FeCr65). It focuses on the production of products, such as low and medium-silicon, low phosphorous, medium-carbon and high-chromium. BAL is India’s second largest pure play integrated ferro chrome (FeCr) producer and is one of the few ferro alloys manufacturing companies in the country having captive mines. 

Sharp increase in ferrous chrome and chrome prices :- The prices for ferro chrome have increased by ~100 per cent, while chrome prices are up by ~300 per cent since February 2016. The benefits of price rise will be seen in the coming quarters as well. The prices have risen during the previous year; however, the most important question is whether not the prices will remain firm in the coming quarters. In all likelihood, the prices of ferro chrome are expected to remain high owing to huge consolidation among producers. 

Stainless steel:- When it comes to ferro chrome, the production growth and price of stainless steel is a key driver of demand, as it accounts for over 85 per cent of global ferro chrome consumption. The ferro chrome industry is largely dependent upon the performance of stainless steel sector. India is the second largest stainless-steel producer in the world after China. 

Financials :- On the financial front, Ballasore Alloys posted a whopping 82.81 per cent hike in its net sales to Rs.308.44 crore for the first quarter of FY2018 as compared to Rs.168.72 crore in the same quarter of the previous fiscal. The company’s PBIDT grew by 173.54 per cent to Rs.49.63 crore in the first quarter of FY18, as against Rs.18.14 crore in the same quarter of the previous year. The company’s net profit grew by 374.25 per cent to Rs.24 crore in Q1FY18, as compared with Rs.5.06 crore in the same quarter of the previous financial year. 

On the annual front, the company posted a 20.75 per cent hike in its net sales to Rs.1,036.90 crore in FY2017, as against Rs.837.97 crore in the previous financial year. The company’s PBIDT witnessed an increase of 129.46 per cent to Rs.203.67 crore in FY2017, as compared to Rs.88.76 crore during the previous financial year. The company’s net profit grew by 379 per cent to Rs.89.53 crore in FY2017 as compared to Rs.18.69 crore in the fiscal year 

The key risk for the company’s profitability remains slowdown in the Chinese economy. The stock is currently trading at 6.76 P/E, which is reasonable. 

On the expectation that the demand for stainless steel will remain intact and the prices for ferrous chrome will be steady, we have a BUY rating on Balasore Alloys.