After falling 1.3% yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEX: ^DJI ) closed the week down 1.4%. The red ink was thickest for these three names:
Caterpillar and Bank of America plunged after yesterday’s mediocre jobs report. When jobs are scarce and employers stingy on wages, it becomes harder to pay off household and consumer debt. Two-thirds of B of A’s loans — $600 billion — fall into these categories, so the bank should have a strong interest in full employment. Though JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM ) , which plunged 3.7% this week, has more extensive trading and investment banking operations than B of A, it of course has quite a bit of exposure to household and consumer debt, too.
It’s a similar worry for Caterpillar. It’s hard to get construction unless we see paychecks that allow consumers to buy things, or government spending picks up.
Unfortunately for Cat, unprecedented budget cutbacks — particularly at the state and local level — continue to decimate transportation construction. Transportation was one of the only sectors of the economy to actually lose jobs after state and local spending cuts subtracted 0.14 points from GDP. And you don’t ordinarily associate tech stocks with economic cyclicality, but Cicso does depend on government contracts for a big part of its business. The company reports quarterly earnings next Wednesday, so we’ll find out soon enough.
One mediocre jobs report doesn’t spell doom, but investors are clearly afraid of a three-peat to the past couple of years, where the recovery seemed strong but ultimately failed to pick up enough steam.
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The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, “I will spend my last dying breath… and every penny of Apple’s $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong.” What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?
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