News with Tags "debt"

Reddy Ice preparing to file for bankruptcy: WSJ

Posted on Monday, April 9, 2012 - 08:12 am

(Reuters) - Packaged-ice maker Reddy Ice Holdings Inc is preparing to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and plans to hand ownership to a hedge fund holding the company's debt, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

The company could seek bankruptcy protection this week, perhaps within the next two days or so, the paper said.

Reddy Ice officials could not be reached for comment outside regular U.S. business hours.

Hedge fund Centerbridge would exchange debt for majority ownership of Reddy Ice, the Journal said.

The company could at some later point attempt to merge with Arctic Glacier Inc, a troubled rival in Canada that has filed for bankruptcy, the paper said.

(Reporting by Santosh Nadgir; Editing by Matt Driskill)

Short URL:

Posted by on Monday, April 9, 2012 - 08:12 am.
Filed under Uncategorized, World. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

Reddy Ice preparing to file for bankruptcy: WSJ

Posted on Monday, April 9, 2012 - 08:11 am

(Reuters) - Packaged-ice maker Reddy Ice Holdings Inc is preparing to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and plans to hand ownership to a hedge fund holding the company's debt, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

The company could seek bankruptcy protection this week, perhaps within the next two days or so, the paper said.

Reddy Ice officials could not be reached for comment outside regular U.S. business hours.

Hedge fund Centerbridge would exchange debt for majority ownership of Reddy Ice, the Journal said.

The company could at some later point attempt to merge with Arctic Glacier Inc, a troubled rival in Canada that has filed for bankruptcy, the paper said.

(Reporting by Santosh Nadgir; Editing by Matt Driskill)

Short URL:

Posted by on Monday, April 9, 2012 - 08:11 am.
Filed under Uncategorized, World. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

Dollar’s Standing Slips After Mixed Jobs Numbers

Posted on Saturday, April 7, 2012 - 06:16 am

The dollar fell against the euro and the yen on Friday after lower-than-expected jobs figures bolstered views that the Federal Reserve could yet ease policy further to help the economy, though thin holiday trading exaggerated currency moves.

The dollar reversed early gains against the euro after data showed nonfarm payrolls in the United States rose by 120,000 in March, far lower than the 203,000 expected in a Reuters survey.

The data was especially disappointing since recent numbers suggested a stronger recovery in the jobs market.

“The question for the dollar is whether this is viewed as an outlier in an otherwise improving trend in labor markets, or if it’s viewed as enough to revive talk of another round of Fed policy easing,” Omer Esiner, chief market analyst with Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington, said. “At the very least it will keep the door open to additional policy easing, more so than before the number was released. In that respect, it’s definitely a negative for the dollar.”

The euro rose 0.26 percent to $1.3097, bouncing from a three-week low of $1.3033 it hit the previous session, according to Reuters data.

Nevertheless, dismal data from the euro zone, fears about Spain’s debt levels and expectations that European monetary policy will stay loose have the euro down about 2 percent against the dollar this week.

The dollar was off 0.95 percent to 81.51 yen, for a loss of about 1.7 percent for the week.

Activity was light and trading desks thinly staffed, with the stock market in the United States closed and the bond market closed early in observance of the Good Friday holiday. Much of Asia was off as well.

Government debt prices surged, pushing yields to more than three-week lows after the surprisingly weak job growth report.

“Right now, this is going to keep the Fed in easy-policy mode,” said Sean Incremona, an economist at 4Cast in New York. “They’re going to want to see a step toward 300,000 before they start to think about seeing a stronger outlook for the economy.”

The Treasury’s benchmark 10-year note rose 1 6/32, to 99 19/32, and the yield fell to 2.05 percent from 2.18 percent late Thursday.

“Monday’s price action will be a lot more telling as participants in the U.S. and abroad digest today’s jobs data,” said Daniel Hwang, senior currency strategist at Forex.com in New York. “Raised expectations of Fed stimulus should cause some consolidation of the dollar next week, especially after this week’s gains, and I think the euro is likely to test that support level.”

The euro was also weighed by worries about Spain’s high debt level as a poor debt auction earlier in the week fueled concerns about the country’s ability to address its fiscal problems.

“I’m negative on the euro,” said Sumino Kamei, senior currency analyst at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ in Tokyo. “It’s likely to keep extending losses below $1.30 as there’s no event that could stop its decline amid worries over Spain.

Against the yen, the euro was at 106.77, down 0.69 percent after hitting a one-month low at 106.52.


Short URL:

Posted by on Saturday, April 7, 2012 - 06:16 am.
Filed under Currencies, Uncategorized. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

First-quarter earnings could derail market’s climb

Posted on Saturday, April 7, 2012 - 01:41 am

For the stock market, it was a triumphant first quarter. But for earnings growth, the past three months were just ho-hum.

Analysts are expecting earnings for companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 index to decline 0.1 percent compared to a year ago, according to FactSet. It's a tiny number but a significant turning point. Earnings growth was on a winning streak for the previous nine quarters. Year-over-year earnings growth has been at least 10 percent for all but the most recent period, when it was 6 percent.

The reasons for the expected slowdown range from global (a weak Europe hurts everybody) to mathematical (it's hard to top double-digit quarters). Whatever the cause, the stagnation in earnings growth is a stark reminder that the economy's problems are far from solved. Just three months ago, analysts were predicting 3 percent earnings growth for the first quarter.

We'll soon see if the expectations are on target. Earnings season gets under way Tuesday when the aluminum producer Alcoa becomes the first major U.S. company to release its first-quarter results.

Should this batch of earnings contain a lot of bad surprises, it could upend a stock market rally that pushed the S&P 500 index up 12 percent in the first three months of the year.

Here's what you need to know:

—Are earnings really that bad?

It depends on how you look at it. People are blaming the slowdown on several factors including higher oil prices and Europe's debt crisis. Those are legitimate concerns. High prices for oil and gas make it more expensive for companies to ship their products and leave people with less money to spend on other things. Europe's debt crisis means that the U.S. can't sell as many products there. It also hurts fast-growing economies like China and India that export to Europe. That, in turn, affects U.S. companies that count on growth in emerging markets to boost their own sales.

Keep in mind that this deceleration follows an extended period of big gains. Earnings surged 19 percent in the first quarter of 2011, and that was on top of 53 percent growth the year before as companies bounced back from a dismal first quarter of 2009. Aggregate earnings of companies in the S&P 500 were $96 per share last year, a record, according to FactSet senior earnings analyst John Butters. Investors realize that companies can't sustain warp speed indefinitely.

"It's supposed to be a very weak quarter," says Sam Stovall, chief equity strategist at S&P Capital IQ, "but Wall Street is not freaking out because they understand why."

—Does the market care about earnings?

Sure, to an extent. More often than not, a company's stock moves in the same direction as its earnings.

Investors tend to trade on what they expect to happen in the coming months. By the time a company actually announces its quarterly results, chances are they've already been baked into the stock price and won't have much of an immediate effect unless there's a big surprise. A company's predictions about the future are what investors really listen to.

"A lot of what we're going to get now," Butters says, "is already in the rear-view mirror."

Butters also notes the outsized impact of Apple's earnings on the overall figure for the S&P 500. Strip out Apple, Butters says, and the prediction for the first quarter falls from minus 0.1 percent to minus 1.6 percent.

Besides, one quarter of earnings growth hardly means a company is solid. Earnings can be a deceptive measurement, and will rise even when revenue falls if a company slashes jobs and other expenses. Share buybacks and accounting charges can also inflate profits and mask a company's struggles.

"You can always juggle earnings," says Stovall. "It's a lot harder to fudge sales."

—What's the big picture?

Despite all the hubbub about The End of Earnings Growth, analysts are expecting only a short-term decline. Earnings growth is expected to return to 7 percent in the second quarter and 5 percent in the third quarter, according to FactSet. Bigger jumps of 16 percent, 14 percent and 13 percent are predicted for the three quarters after that, through the middle of 2013. Analysts also expect per-share earnings in the S&P to rise to more than $105 in 2012, another record, according to Butters.

That reflects investors' belief that Europe will stabilize by the end of the year. Even if it doesn't, the thinking goes, companies will have adjusted to turmoil in Europe as a new normal that they can function under, rather than something that sets off constant fears of another cataclysm.

Machinery company Caterpillar said in its last earnings call that the company expects its sales in Europe to continue to rise despite the problems there.

"It's been going on a long time and hasn't tanked the place yet," said chief financial officer Edward Rapp. "We don't think it will."

Short URL:

Posted by on Saturday, April 7, 2012 - 01:41 am.
Filed under Uncategorized, World. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

Gold headed for weekly loss as US easing hopes fade

Posted on Friday, April 6, 2012 - 10:48 am

SINGAPORE: Gold was broadly steady in thin trade on Friday but was headed for a weekly decline of more than 2 per cent as investors were disappointed by the diminishing prospects of monetary stimulus in the United States.

Bullion hit a near three-month low of $1,611.80 this week after the minutes from a US Federal Reserve policy meeting showed a waning appetite for another round of bond purchases.

Spot gold has rebounded from that level and traded at $1,630.33 an ounce at 0246 GMT, but is still on course for a 2.3 per cent weekly decline, snapping two straight weeks of gains.

"Gold fell below the previous range that it had held for a while," said Hou Xinqiang, an analyst at Jinrui Futures in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen.

"If we don't see any significantly supportive factor, it would be difficult for gold to regain a firm footing above the $1,630 level in the short term."

Hou said a string of upbeat US economic data in recent months and the Fed's attitude towards monetary easing will weigh on gold.

The latest data showed initial jobless claims in the United States last week fell to the lowest level in nearly four years, suggesting the labour market is on the mend.

Trading was thin as many markets were closed for the Easter holiday, and as investors awaited the closely-watched U.S March employment report, due at 1230 GMT, for further clues on the condition of the job market.

The strength in the dollar offset gold's safe-haven appeal as fears about the euro zone debt crisis resurfaced after a Spanish government debt auction this week was poorly received.

Concerns about the ailing euro zone sank the euro to its lowest level since mid-March against the dollar, and consequently helped the dollar index rise to a three-week high in the previous session.

A stronger greenback makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

Spot silver inched up 0.2 per cent to $31.72, extending a 1.1-per cent rise in the previous session. The metal was on course for a weekly fall of 1.5 per cent.

Short URL:

Posted by on Friday, April 6, 2012 - 10:48 am.
Filed under Commodities & Bullion, Uncategorized. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

Crash Course: Chapter 13 – A National Failure to Save by Chris Martenson

Posted on Friday, March 30, 2012 - 19:33 pm

Short URL:

Posted by on Friday, March 30, 2012 - 19:33 pm.
Filed under Uncategorized. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

LIVE IN FEAR – DIE IN DEBT

Posted on Friday, March 23, 2012 - 19:33 pm

Short URL:

Posted by on Friday, March 23, 2012 - 19:33 pm.
Filed under Uncategorized. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

Gold bounces with euro, set for 4th weekly loss

Posted on Friday, March 23, 2012 - 17:01 pm

LONDON: Gold rose on Friday, led by a rebound in the euro, but was still set for a fourth consecutive weekly loss, due to patchy consumer demand and evidence of the waning investor appetite for the metal as confidence in the economic outlook strengthens.

Global equities came under pressure on Friday, having touched eight-month peaks earlier in the week, as concerns resurfaced over the health of the Chinese and euro zone economies and a renewed focus on the debt burdens of Spain and Italy tempered some investors' enthusiasm.

This month, the gold price has lost nearly 3 per cent in value, as a shift in the perception among investors of the health of the US economy in particular has made so-called safe-haven assets such as gold or US Treasuries less attractive compared with stocks or higher-yielding currencies.

The pressure from the weaker gold price on investment in exchange-traded funds backed by physical metal, made itself felt, resulting in the largest one-day fall in holdings on Friday in three months.

Spot gold was up around 0.3 per cent at $1,649.76 an ounce by 1105 GMT, having recovered from a low of $1,627.68 on Thursday, but still on course a 0.6 per cent decline on the week, the fourth weekly loss in a row.

"The strength of the US economy is a negative for gold from the perspective of the US dollar as well as from the perspective of the portfolio flows for US investors," Nic Brown, head of commodity research at Natixis, said.

"We've been negative on gold for a little while; we do think that it's passed its peak.Over the medium to long-term horizon we expect to see prices quite a bit lower," he said.

Gold's inverse correlation to the dollar index, which broke a key level of support on Friday, has held at around -45 per cent for the last week, indicating that the gold price remains prone to moving in the opposite direction to the US currency.

While this is normally the case, the unfolding of the euro zone debt crisis last year saw this relationship between the two turn positive for much of 2011 as investors fled the euro and euro-denominated assets.

VIEW CHANGES

Markets are attaching a lower chance of the US Federal Reserve embarking on a fresh round of government-bond buying, or quantitative easing, to keep short-term interest rates low to stimulate growth, and this shift has been a key driver in this month's fall in the gold price.

"We think that quantitative easing and abnormally low US interest rates have been a huge support for gold prices. It's no surprise that the falling gold price recently has been accompanied by quite a significant rise in US interest rates," Brown said.

"Gold doesn't have a yield or a dividend or anything like that so as interest rates rise, your opportunity cost of holding gold increases."


Short URL:

Posted by on Friday, March 23, 2012 - 17:01 pm.
Filed under Commodities & Bullion, Uncategorized. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

Do not panic: The rally in risk assets is for real

Posted on Friday, March 23, 2012 - 16:31 pm

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) - If you're waiting for the next meltdown in U.S. stocks or in commodities, you may want to get over it.

After several false dawns following the global financial crisis, more investors are starting to believe the current rally in stocks, commodities and emerging markets could be a long-lasting one.

The S&P 500 (SNP:^GSPC - Newsnull.SPX) closed above 1,400 points last week for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis. Investors piled into U.S. equity funds, with the biggest weekly inflows since mid-September.

"Is this risk rally for real? I think the answer to that question is yes, but it's not a straight line up," said Art Steinmetz, chief investment officer at Oppenheimer Funds in New York, managing more than $177 billion in assets.

Oppenheimer is currently betting on stocks tied to upswings in the economy, and is also overweight in riskier bond classes, he said.

Since its recent bottom in early October, the S&P index has jumped 30 percent. But for the first time since 2007, investors are not using the gains as an opportunity to take profits and run away. Instead, the rally has been slow and steady, and investors see the sustained improvement in the U.S. economy as a sign that demand has returned and that risky assets can support higher valuations.

"The prospects for future returns in equities relative to bonds are as good as they have been in a generation," Goldman Sachs in a note Wednesday said.

Dean Junkans, chief investment officer at Wells Fargo Advisors and Wells Fargo Private Bank, said individual investors have started wading back into higher-risk, higher-yield assets, including high-yield and emerging market funds.

"For the last five years, few people wanted to talk about a long-term plan," said Junkans, who oversees $1.3 trillion in assets. Instead, investors had preferred the safety of low-yielding Treasury bills and money market funds.

"Now I'd say they are dipping their toes back into the market," he said, citing demand for high-dividend-yield stocks, high-yield corporate debt, and emerging market fixed income.

HOW RISKY ASSETS HAVE PERFORMED

Last year was one for the risk-averse: U.S. government bonds were the best-performing asset class. This year has been the reverse.

The S&P is already up 11 percent in 2012. The Thomson Reuters-Jefferies commodity index (:.CRBnull.CRB) has gained 2.4 percent so far in 2012 after losing more than 8 percent last year. Long-dated U.S. Treasuries prices, meanwhile, are down 7.3 percent this year, according to Barclays Capital.

The euro, at the epicenter of the financial crisis, is also up nearly 2 percent against the dollar in 2012 after losses of 3.2 percent in 2011.

"There has been very substantial progress in the euro zone the last couple of months," said Thomas Stolper, chief currency strategist at Goldman Sachs in London. He expects the euro to hit $1.38 over the next six months and $1.45 by the end of 2012.

The euro zone's general stability is reflected in currency options as well. Implied volatility has fallen to levels not seen since before the euro zone debt crisis, in large part because heavily indebted Greece finally agreed to a bailout plan and debt restructuring and the European Central Bank offered short-term loans to the region's banks.

The high-yield debt market has risen more than 5 percent this year, according to Barclays Capital. Investors have flocked to junk bond ETFs, with the two largest junk-bond ETFs attracting nearly half of the $4.15 billion that flowed into U.S. fixed income in February.

Emerging markets have also become more popular: The Vanguard MSCI Emerging Markets ETF pulled in $2.5 billion while the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund hauled $1.5 billion, according to IndexUniverse.com, which tracks ETF performance.

FINDING COMFORT IN RISK

The U.S. stock market is a favorite of Scottish Widows Investment Partnership. The fund, which is based in Edinburgh and manages about $220 billion, has made U.S. stocks the biggest overweight sector in its portfolio.

"The recovery in the U.S. has been more robust than expected, and the rally in the U.S. is probably more durable," said William Low, head of global equities at Scottish Widows. The firm has exposure to U.S. industrials, information technology, and the consumer discretionary sector.

A key measure of risk suggests more investors are becoming comfortable with equities as the rally has continued. The implied equity risk premium, which compares the market's earnings yield - a ratio of earnings to share price - to the yield on risk-free government debt, is what investors are willing to pay to invest in stocks instead of bonds.

When it rises, it suggests investors want to be paid more to take on the risk of owning stocks. When it falls, it suggests more comfort with equities.

Over the last 10 years, risk premiums in both the United States and Europe have been rising. Premiums peaked in August 2011 and have since been declining, an indication that investors are more positive on the outlook for stocks.

The implied risk premium currently suggests another 10 to 15 percent in gains in the U.S. stock index this year, and for European equities, a further 6-8 percent rise.

SKEPTICISM STILL OUT THERE

It is easy to be skeptical about this year's gains. Risky assets have gone through a series of rallies that were undermined by worries, ranging from the euro zone's debt crisis to the Japanese earthquake and sluggish performance from banks.

In Europe, while Greece has negotiated a bailout program and a debt restructuring agreement, investors question whether it will be the end of the region's troubles. Other indebted nations like Spain and Portugal loom as problems for Europe's banks.

Saber-rattling between Iran and Israel has boosted crude prices. Rising gasoline costs could pinch consumer budgets, and a greater conflict would add uncertainty to markets.

In addition, recent data has rekindled fears that the euro zone could fall back into recession. And signs of slowing growth in China could carry risks around the world, particularly commodities-rich countries from Latin America to Australia that have found a rich market in China for their goods.

This year's strong rally has led some, like London-based hedge fund GLC, to reduce their exposure to risk after profiting from stock-market gains and successful bets against bonds.

Nonetheless, Steven Bell, director and portfolio manager for GLC, which has about $1 billion in assets under management, does not see a bear market coming. "We're still on a positive track and in a bullish trend," he said.

Other funds are taking advantage of low volatility to increase hedges against calamitous events. The CBOE Market Volatility Index, or VIX (Chicago Options:^VIX - Newsnull.VIX), Wall Street's favored anxiety gauge, last week hit its lowest close since mid-2007, suggesting benign market conditions will continue.

But later-dated volatility futures contracts show increased concern that the market is starting to become complacent. Similarly, currency market investors are also hedging against unforeseen outcomes. The concern is that the euphoria will leave investors exposed to sudden, sharp declines.

Still, the market's worries are less intense when compared with 2008, when Lehman Brothers collapsed, or the euro zone crisis that dominated 2011.

"Markets love a grizzly story," said Simon Smollett, senior currency options strategist at Credit Agricole in London. "But there is no grizzly story. The bears have left the room."

(Additional reporting by Steven C. Johnson; Editing by Leslie Adler)

Short URL:

Posted by on Friday, March 23, 2012 - 16:31 pm.
Filed under Uncategorized, World. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

SPA Research`s view on Tech Mahindra – Satyam merger

Posted on Thursday, March 22, 2012 - 14:50 pm

SPA Research has come out with its report on Tech Mahindra - Satyam merger. The research firm recommends buy for the combined entity (Both TechM and MSat).

"Since Satyam's acquisition by Tech Mahindra in 2009, the management has maintained that the two companies would be eventually merged. Fixing the swap ratio at 2:17 for Tech Mahindra: Mahindra Satyam the company has taken a big step in that direction. The merger would result in the 5th largest Indian listed IT service provider with Sales of c.2.7bn USD. TechM will issue 103.4mn new shares increasing its outstanding shares to 230.8mn out of which 24mn would be kept with treasury trust for any future acquisitions / investments."

Revenue Consolidation: On analyzing Tech Mahindra (TechM) and Mahindra Satyam (MSat) individually, we find that TechM and MSat with revenues of $ 1.15bn and $ 1.3bn respectively, form a mutually exclusive group with zero redundancy in terms of clients or revenue overlap. This results in LTM revenues of $ 2.45bn for the combined entity. The combined entity (TechMSat or TMS) will also present an opportunity to cross sell and synergize deals, which they have already started and are seeing good traction. We expect TMS's FY13 revenue growth to be 10.2% ($2.7bn vs $2.5bn for FY12E), lower than NASSCOM's prediction (11%- 14%) due to (i) Bad Macro scenario (ii) TechM - exposure to Telecom and BT headwind and (iii) MSat - Slowly, starting to be called at the table to discuss bigger deals.

Margin Consideration: Mahindra Satyam has done well over the past six quarters to improve its operating margins from 5.9% in 2QFY11 to 16.2% in 3QFY12 helped by improvement in (i) Operational Efficiency (ii) Employee pyramid (iii) Utilization levels, we expect this to improve further to c.19% by FY14 on the back of (i) increase in volumes and (ii) rationalizing employee pyramid. Tech Mahindra on the other hand finds itself in a sticky position with declining margins from 23.6% in 3QFY10 to 16.2% in 3QFY12. This is on the back of (i) Macro scenario hampering Telecom sector (ii) BT - TechM's largest client retendering projects - putting pricing pressure. However we expect margins to stabilize at these levels. The combined entity will have higher margins than the two companies due to (i) operational efficiency gains (ii) 5% reduction in fixed and G&A costs (iii) Improvement in MSat margins, though partially offset by TechM in the short term. We expect stable operating margins of c.18% for TSM in FY13E. The cash infusion from MSat will also help pay-off TechM's debt (of the total debt of INR 11.8bn in FY12E, two tranches of INR 3bn each are to be repaid in April, 2013 and 2014 at a 10.25% interest rate), reducing interest costs substantially and bringing down the net debt to negative territory.

Valuation and Outlook: As expected if the merger is completed in FY13, it would result in the 5th largest Indian listed IT services company with FY11-13E CAGR revenue of 13.6%, EBITDA CAGR of 28.1% (due to increase in EBITDA Margin from 14.2% in FY11 to 18.0% in FY13E) and Net Income CAGR of 15.9%. TMS through its individual companies is currently trading at a 1yr Fwd PE multiple of 7.9x, 40% discount to its nearest competitor HCL Tech's 1yr Fwd PE Multiple of 12x. We estimate the discount to be 20% given similar margin profile and debt standard but lower revenue growth for the new entity. Thus, we recommend BUY for the combined entity (Both TechM and MSat).

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

To read the full report click on the attachment

  

Short URL:

Posted by on Thursday, March 22, 2012 - 14:50 pm.
Filed under Trading Calls - Equity / F&O, Uncategorized. Tagged with:
You can follow any responses to this Post through the RSS 2.0 Click to Comment

Video News